Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-17 0.009659 0.011462 0.013653 0.016563 0.020400 0.025405 0.032626
2025-08-24 0.007075 0.009043 0.011712 0.015743 0.021964 0.031771 0.049806
2025-08-31 0.005997 0.008062 0.011084 0.016106 0.024889 0.041220 0.079345
2025-09-07 0.005108 0.007102 0.010174 0.015635 0.026121 0.048385 0.112822
2025-09-14 0.004426 0.006307 0.009321 0.014964 0.026645 0.054425 0.153027
2025-09-21 0.004009 0.005850 0.008913 0.014956 0.028477 0.064904 0.231161
2025-09-28 0.003775 0.005648 0.008891 0.015662 0.032216 0.084119 0.421993
2025-10-05 0.003669 0.005638 0.009199 0.017127 0.038648 0.120648 1.066351
2025-10-12 0.003477 0.005449 0.009135 0.017753 0.043202 0.158303 2.777916
2025-10-19 0.003221 0.005114 0.008729 0.017466 0.044832 0.185651 6.692391
2025-10-26 0.003040 0.004895 0.008522 0.017623 0.048134 0.232399 34.371468
2025-11-02 0.002840 0.004621 0.008163 0.017299 0.049559 0.271673 501.046664
2025-11-09 0.002585 0.004236 0.007559 0.016302 0.048371 0.292682 NaN
2025-11-16 0.002368 0.003909 0.007050 0.015482 0.047659 0.321754 NaN
2025-11-23 0.002260 0.003782 0.006960 0.015835 0.052515 0.451301 NaN
2025-11-30 0.002110 0.003559 0.006624 0.015376 0.053255 0.534622 NaN
2025-12-07 0.001965 0.003332 0.006251 0.014720 0.052640 0.597133 NaN
2025-12-14 0.001872 0.003204 0.006094 0.014711 0.055671 0.798917 NaN
2025-12-21 0.001826 0.003166 0.006145 0.015401 0.063666 1.400813 NaN
2025-12-28 0.001816 0.003205 0.006387 0.016833 0.078913 3.851973 NaN
2026-01-04 0.001767 0.003153 0.006396 0.017443 0.089537 9.825315 NaN
2026-01-11 0.001684 0.003023 0.006186 0.017164 0.092371 17.816271 NaN
2026-01-18 0.001625 0.002940 0.006090 0.017317 0.099873 61.496889 NaN